Expertise

Topics:  East Asia and the Global Economy, International Economics, Business and Economics, Economics, Technological Innovation, Industrial Organization

Industries: Public Policy, Education/Learning, Research

Lee Branstetter joined the Heinz College faculty in 2006 as a tenured associate professor. He has a joint appointment with the Department of Social and Decision Sciences (SDS).

Branstetter is also a research associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research and nonresident senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics. From 2011-2012, he served as the Senior Economist for International Trade and Investment for the President's Council of Economic Advisors. Prior to coming to Carnegie Mellon, he was the Daniel J. Stanton Associate Professor of Business and the Director of the International Business Program at Columbia Business School. Branstetter has also taught at the University of California, Davis, where he was the Director of the East Asian Studies Program, and at Dartmouth College. He has served as a consultant to the OECD Science and Technology Directorate, the Advanced Technology Program of the U.S. Department of Commerce, and the World Bank. In recent years, Branstetter has been a research fellow of the Keio University Global Security Research Institute and a visiting fellow of the Research Institute of Economy, Trade, and Industry in Japan. Branstetter holds a B.A. in Economics and Mathematical Methods in the Social Sciences (MMSS) from Northwestern University, and he earned his Ph.D. in Economics at Harvard in 1996.

Branstetter's research interests include the economics of technological innovation, international economics, industrial organization, and economic growth in East Asia, with a particular focus on China and Japan. His papers span a wide range of topics, including the effects of patent laws on international technology transfer, the role of multinationals in the diffusion of technology across national boundaries, the impact of research consortia on the research productivity of participating firms, and the evolution of trade and investment policies in the People's Republic of China. His work has appeared in leading journals including the American Economic Review, the Quarterly Journal of Economics, the RAND Journal of Economics, and the Journal of International Economics.

Media Experience

The lessons from China’s dominance in manufacturing  — Financial Times
Lee Branstetter (Heinz College) found “little statistical evidence of productivity improvement or increases in R&D expenditure, patenting and profitability” caused by Beijing's Made in China 2025 initiative.

The Fortress That China Built for Its Battle With America  — The Wall Street Journal
Beijing is racing ahead in advanced technology, including in robots, satellites and AI, and in some cases, is catching up with the U.S. "In every country, even a country as vast as China, resources are limited. If they’re used inefficiently, this will hold back living standards in the long run,” said Lee Branstetter (Heinz College).

Trump’s tariffs: ‘It feels like Covid 2.0. So many things are getting disrupted’  — The Guardian
The reporter gauged the temperature of the Trump tariffs by talking to Pittsburgh residents, workers and business owners. "It seems like simply as a consequence of this spike in policy uncertainty, we’re likely to see a significant macroeconomic slowdown in the US and perhaps beyond," said Lee Branstetter (Heinz College).

Trump says the U.S. and China are 'actively' discussing tariffs. Beijing says that's false.  — NBC
China directly contradicted President Trump's claims that Beijing and Washington are actively discussing resolutions to a trade war. "I think the Chinese have taken the measure of Donald Trump. They’ve determined that he really can’t afford the economic and political cost that high tariffs, even on China alone, would generate, that he would fold pretty quickly if pushed. And that seems to be exactly what’s happening,” said Lee Branstetter (Heinz College).

Want evidence Trump’s tariffs are upending the global economy? Here it is  — CNN
Lee Branstetter (Heinz College) says it may be too early to jump to any conclusions on the Trump tariffs impacting the global economy. It is, however, “reasonable to attribute part of the export decline to the Trump-related disruptions in trade,” he told CNN.

Does China Really Pick Winners?  — The Wall Street Journal
Many in Congress believe industrial policy is China’s economic secret, but what if that’s not true? That’s the lesson in a notable new paper from the National Bureau of Economic Research, which finds that China’s government subsidies for business have little positive effect, and sometimes the opposite.

The World Is Upside Down  — National Review
A recent paper in this category, by Lee Branstetter, Guangwei Li, and Mengjia Ren, is titled “Picking Winners? Government Subsidies and Firm Productivity in China.” The authors examine the extensive array of subsidy programs in China — the existence of which is the excuse many U.S. legislators use for supporting similar American subsidies — and their impacts on the productivity of subsidized firms.

How best to bring back manufacturing  — The Economist
ttitudes to manufacturing were a small but telling split in the cold war. The Soviet Union had such a focus on industry that its statisticians kept services from the country’s measure of national income. A year after the conflict ended, Michael Boskin, then the White House’s chief economist, is said to have joked it did not matter whether the “chips” America produced were made from semiconductors or potatoes. There are echoes in the present geopolitical face-off. Xi Jinping, China’s president, is so focused on hard tech that he has cracked down on consumer-tech firms.

A bigger role for venture capital  — The Economist
o understand what was a risky venture in 19th-century America, visit the Whaling Museum in Nantucket. The industry thrived on this Massachusetts island, now transformed from an outpost for coarse sailors into a swanky beach spot. Two centuries ago, whales were valuable because of the lucrative oil in their head-cases. Captains amassed fleets of sloops and dozens of men armed with harpoons to hunt them. For lucky crews that found their “white whales” the rewards were enormous, but so were the risks of losing ships and souls in the hunt. In “Moby Dick” Herman Melville admonishes the reader: “for God’s sake, be economical with your lamps and candles! Not a gallon you burn, but at least one drop of man’s blood was spilled for it.”

The Workforce Training Swamp  — Pittsburgh Quarterly
“Even though billions of dollars are spent on workforce training programs every year across the country, we really don’t have the data or the high-quality studies to understand what the effects are in the long run in the majority of cases,” said Lee Branstetter, professor of economics and public policy at Carnegie Mellon University.